Tuesday, January 10, 2012

AL vs. NL

After a comment to Timf on the World Chat I decided to dig a little deeper into the AL vs. NL numbers.

Below is a recap

AL won interleague play 100-92 for a win % of .520 (closer than I had expected)

AL Playoff teams went a combined 43-29 vs. the NL for a win % of .597 (Lou: 9-3, SF: 8-4, Wash: 7-5, NB: 7-5, Paw: 7-5 & KC 5-7)

KC was the only AL with a losing record in interleague......barely at 5-7

NL Playoff teams went a combined 39-33 vs. the AL for a win % of .540 (Balt: 9-3, Sea: 7-5, LR: 6-6, LA: 6-6, LV: 6-6, Phi: 5-7)

NL has two teams in the playoffs with Winning records vs. the AL: Baltimore & Seattle

NL playoff teams faced AL playoff teams in 24 games. The total series ended 12-12 (Thanks to Baltimore running over SF 3-0...... SF was the only team to be swept).

AL won 5/8 series but the 3-0 win by Baltimore was enough to tie up the overal record.

If the above was being scored the AL would win 3-0-1 (Better Win % in interleague, Better Win % from playoff teams & more series wins. NL eeks out a tie in Playoff teams vs. Playoff teams)

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Meet Iain

Iain takes over for Redraider who has decided to leave WIS. I know Iain through Moneyball where he was a former commish.

Name/Family Status: Iain (no really), married, new dad. COMMISH EDIT: The new dad is key, as it will explain in the future why he is responding trade chats at 3:30am

Age: 31
Job: Mechnical Engineer
Favorite HBD Moment: First HBD title, which was also with my first team (Fargo Rock City in Happy Jack)... though sadly not in my first season with them. Or even close.

Favorite Sports teams: Toronto Blue Jays, whoever is playing the Toronto Maple Leafs COMMISH EDIT: Hunter is starting to get over run by Canadians, by my counter we are up to 7-8. I loved his 2nd answer about the Leafs until it was later revealed he's a Habs fan.

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Power Ranks Update 3 (Ranks 1-5)

5. Louisville
Previous Rank: 5
Record: 81-55

For the first time all season the Sluggers are firing on all cylinders and ironically enough it’s the pitching staff that is finally pulling it’s weight. The return of 2-time Cy Young award winner Wendal Kinkade has lifted follow pitchers Flip McCall and Timothy Ducey back to their normal levels. A post-allstar break run including a sweep in Altanta has stretched the divison lead to 7 games.

A recent injury to former MVP Ted Bolick who is lost for most of the regular season keeps me from pushing my team higher. Behind SF the Sluggers boast the 2nd highest exp. win % and the 3rd highest actual win %

4. Little Rock
Previous Rank: 3
Record: 86-50

As I am sure you noticed this list is “light” on NL teams. It may be an AL owner bias but this year even more so than other seasons the balance of power seems to have shifted to the AL. That said the last 5 titles have come out of the AL, so there is some historical basis.

Little Rock slips to three due to no fault of their own, just two teams have been more impressive over the middle third of the season. Little Rock sits 1 GB back of LA for the 1 seed in the NL

3. Los Angeles
Previous Rank: 4
Record: 87-49

LA started the season strong and has continued the run with enough authority to take the number one spot in the NL (both in power ranks and actual record), yes LA is the 3rd and final NL team in the power ranks. LA has made three trades this season but all three have directly impacted their ML roster, by my count since the beginning of the season through the trade route LA has upgraded 3 of their 5 SP spots, added 2 strong bullpen arms (including a recent deal for Ivan Pena) & significantly upgraded their CF spot. These moves have positioned the Baja Racers to knock the Renegades off for the first time in 5 seasons.

2. Washington
Previous Rank: 6
Record: 84-52

To be completely honest I was flip-flopping on whether it would be Washington or Louisville in the 2-spot. It wasn’t the threat of being called a homer that stopped me short. It was the previously mentioned Ted Bolick injury which caused me to give Washington the nod.

After the last power ranks lets_try mentioned that being ranked 6th was an insult and motivation for his team………well he proved to be prophetic. Since the last power ranks Washington has been one of the hottest teams and holds a commanding 23 game lead in the AL East over Columbus. If Let_try sees a 2-rank an insult his team may decide not to lose another game for the season.

1. San Francisco
Previous Rank: 2
Record: 86-50

SF was the team I originally wanted to put at number 1 to start the season but in the words of Rick Flair “To be the champ you have to beat the champ…….Wooooooo”. With that in mind I gave the nod to the Back to Back champ NB. For the first time this season the Night Demons ascend to number 1 in the ranks. With roster expansion today, I know that SF will be calling up some reinforcements for the post-season which given the fact my team resides in the AL is frankly……..scary.

The Night Demons have the highest exp win % in the AL and fall a couple percentage points of LA for the world lead.

Monday, January 2, 2012

Power Ranks Update 3 (6-10)

I have 5 to 1 complete and they will be posted tomorrow

10. Pawtucket
Previous Rank: NR
Record: 80-56

I have made my feelings known on the Patriots in the world chat. I don’t believe a team that has been outscored (657 run scored- 661 runs against) is actually worthy of being 24 games above .500. It was also statistically unlikely that they could continue to win 80% of their 1 run games. Since the world chat that 1-run win % has fallen to 72% but is well above the expected 50%. All of that said they lead the AL North and the 2-time champ by 4 games. I still think NB wins the divison with Minnesota potentially catching Pawtucket for the 6 seed.

9. Minnesota
Previous Rank: NR
Record: 73-63

Minnesota is the only team in the power ranks that is unlikely to make the playoffs. Minnesota & Atlanta (just missed the top 10) are unfortunately in the wrong league. The depth of the AL means that two teams above .500 will be on the outside looking in at the start of the playoffs. Both team of course have better exp. win % than the current 4-seed Pawtucket.

A tip of the cap to perennial MVP candidate Tyler Langston for another great season (37HR 98RB I .989OPS) & 2nd year Marlon Gordon 11-6 3.38 ERA.

8. Seattle
Previous Rank: NR
Record: 77-59

The first NL team to make an appearance on the list. Seattle record was built on the back of an amazing 14 game winning stretch that sandwiched the All-Star break and they have not looked back since. They lead the NL North by 9 games over newcomer Philly & last year divison champ Pittsburgh.

7. Kansas City
Previous Rank: 7
Record: 80-56

Ptwoner was the most active owner in FA and it continues to pay dividends, as KC is taking the best run at SF in the AL West since the Night Demons missed the playoffs 9 seasons ago (S12). Of those off-season acquistions Glenn Kerr-Former Slugger……yes it hurts, has proven to be worth every cent of his MAX deal. His numbers for the season 20-3 with a 1.69ERA and practically a mortal lock for the Cy Young award. In a short series having to face Kerr twice will be no one’s first choice in the playoffs.

6. New Britain
Previous Rank: 1
Record: 76-60

For the first time in this season’s power ranks the 2-Time champ slides out of the top 5. The Yorkies are in jeopardy of losing the divison for the first time since S16 to upstart Pawtucket (already discussed). Perhaps a bigger concern is NB only holds a 1 game lead in the wild card race over Altanta (who just missed making the power ranks & 3 games clear of KC. NB is still my pick to win the North but even a slight stumble down the stretch might mean the Yorkies don’t get a chance to defend their titles.